Tuesday, November 10, 2026

Should We Talk About the Government? (No.)

Not at all. Not even. Instead, let's talk about the minuscule changes made to the "Greatest Players in San Francisco Giants History" page over there on your right.  We've done our annual pruning of players who have been, at least theoretically, up for consideration, and that list is down to 236, with Bryce Eldridge the only addition for 2026.   Over 69 years, 236 players averages between 3 and 4 per year.  Only the 1967 and 2013 seasons went by without a single name being added to the roll. It will surprise no one-- well, no one our age, anyway-- to know that 1958, the first year in San Francisco, added a record 9 to the list. 2010, that fabled first World Championship season, also produced 9. Other fruitful seasons were 1997 (8), 2007 (7) and, most recently, 2024 (7). 

Nothing has changed on the all-time leaderboard, as you also might expect. Logan Webb, despite a down year for him, moved up past Jason Schmidt on the greatest-pitchers list; he now ranks sixth, still far behind the likes of Matt Cain and Tim Lincecum.  And Camilo Doval, if he can make the team in the spring, has a chance to move past Brian Wilson and Sergio Romo if he can revive his once-bright career.  Remember Doval had three big seasons before imploding in 2025, and leading the league in saves and making the All-Star Game is rare territory for Giants relievers. From the current bunch, no one else did much, though Rafael Devers and, we devoutly hope, young Eldridge have the tools to shake up the first-base group in the years to come, if all goes well.   


Thursday, October 1, 2026

Forever Kruke

 


Mike Krukow has been in baseball for 54 years. He was drafted out of Cal Poly by the Chicago Cubs in 1973. He reached the majors in 1976, won his first game in 1977, was traded to Philadelphia after the strike-marred 1981 season, and came to the Giants a year later in a trade that was extremely unpopular at the time; GM Tom Haller gave up Hall of Famer Joe Morgan and top lefty reliever Al Holland to get "Kruke" along with Mark Davis.

"You don't know what you've got 'til it's gone," goes the song, but you also don't know what you're getting until it's here.  And what we Giants fans got, and have, was and is one of the most popular Giants ever to put on the uniform, a beloved instantly-recognizable face of the franchise on par with the likes of Willie McCovey and Tim Lincecum-- enduring iconic personalities known as Forever Giants. 

Mike Krukow won us all over in 1986 when he had his greatest season, winning twenty games for a vivid, exciting ballclub that wiped clean the sour memories of a decade-plus of failures and kicked off the "Giants Renaissance." He was Everyman's kind of pitcher, a wisecracking but intensely dedicated veteran whose personality and perseverence initiated and led a team of young players into the day-to-day grind of a long season. Krukow battled through injury as the Giants won the division in 1987, their first in 16 years, and he pitched the game of his life in Game 4 of the NLCS at Candlestick Park, a complete-game 4-2 win that seemed to sum up his entire persona and career.  And, sadly, that was effectively his last hurrah, as well as his best; toughness and good humor sustained him over two more declining seasons until his good right arm simply gave out.

And soon afterward the love-fest began in earnest as Kruke teamed up with his former teammate Duane Kuiper to form an unbeatable team of baseball and Giants ambassadors to the world. "Kruke and Kuip" became an institution, and his catchphrases--  "Grab some pine, meat!", "Atta babe!," "Just another laugher" (for a close game)-- are known to and repeated by Giants fans everywhere. Kruke also may have coined the term "Forever Giant" (never intending, of course, for it to apply to himself), and his other inventions include "Gamer Babe," "Oil up," and "Ownage."  It was simply a joy to listen to Krukow and Kuiper lead us through a game of Giants baseball, regardless of the outcome. And, of course, after 20 entertaining years in the booth "Kruke and Kuip" joined all the San Francisco Giants past and present in the franchise's first World Championship and the two that followed.  

Now after 36 years, Mike Krukow leaves the broadcast booth and the game he loves, and leaves us all poorer. There's no way we salute the man with "Grab some pine," so instead we regard him with the ultimate compliment:


Forever Giant.



Wednesday, September 30, 2026

End of the Regular Season

               W L GB
Los Angeles 100 62 Another 100 win season… Series?
San Diego 91 71 9 Host wild-card rematch with Cubs
Arizona         86 76 14  Late season surge not enough
GIANTS         65 97 35 "Just like… starting over"
Colorado   58 104 42 5th straight last place finish

The Giants used a major-league record 71 players this season, and it seemed as though half of them joined the club over the last two months.  Not a single one of the club's four "main men" at season's start-- Rafael Devers, Willy Adames, Matt Chapman, and Jung-Hoo Lee-- were around in September. Instead, we got plenty of Bryce Eldridge, Jonah Cox, Drew Gilbert, Drew Cavanaugh, and an exciting look at Bo Davidson. Likewise, Robbie Ray and Tyler Mahle were gone at midseason and even Logan Webb was sat down over the final two weeks, as young pitchers like Yunior Marte, Anthony Molina, Blade Tidwell, and the wonderfully-named Tugboat Wilkinson got a chance to show their stuff.  

If you're going to lose 90-plus games, you had best find out who can play and who can't, and who's going to make up this ballclub going forward. That's what Buster Posey and Tony Vitello have been doing since August, without apology, and that's fine with us. For now.  We welcome this huge influx of young players, we hope some of them can make a real contribution in 2027 (assuming there is a 2027 season) and beyond, and as for the offseason, we can be sure it will be busy. The Giants haven't pulled an overhaul like this since 2008, and we all know how that ended up. 

Will we see an offload of expensive veterans, and at what cost? One guy who must stay is, without question, Rafael Devers. Over the second half of the season he was in full beast mode, once again one of the most feared sluggers in the game; his 37 homers are the most by any Giant since Barry Bonds. His season-ending surgery was routine and done as soon as possible to ready him for next year. Devers and Eldridge, a two-headed left-handed slugging monster, is a legitimate fear point for every pitcher in the league, and this team's strong point going forward. The other veteran keeper is Casey Schmitt; he was the team's best player in 2026 up until the injury and he's 27. We also like Lee for his speed and his good contact (.276 with 57 K and only 6 GIDP), and he just turned 28. Oh, Lord, there's plenty of work to be done replacing the entire bullpen and filling out the rotation, we're not sure this team has a legitimate starting catcher, and we've no idea what will happen with the other fat-contract guys.  So we watch and wait and try not to speculate. 

The Giants were 26th in runs scored this year, and 22nd in runs allowed. Only the Cincinnati Reds (27th and 28th) were lower in both categories. San Francisco was 9-13 this season in blowouts, and 16-30 in one-run games. They fared better in pitchers' duels (15-19), and, as you might expect, slugfests were rare with this bunch. There were only four, and the Giants split 'em. Their season high was 19 runs at Coors Field on May 31; they also scored 18 a week later at Wrigley Field. Robbie Ray, who's now in the playoffs with San Diego, was the beneficiary both times. On the downside, they were shut out 13 times, and blanked the opposition ten times. And one day after scoring their season-high of 19, they gave up their season-high of 16 at Milwaukee, who were the best team in baseball this year.  

Devers, as we noted, was 9th in home runs in MLB, 10th in RBI, and fifth in doubles.  His .865 OPS was tied with Bryce Harper and Randy Arozarena for 12th.  No other Giant approached the batting leaderboard.  The team was 22nd in stolen bases, but Lee (12 of 13), Cox (16 of 20), and Schmitt (9 of 10) were excellent at it. If Lee would just learn to take a walk (29 in 537 AB), he'd score a lot more than 65 runs. Schmitt, though we love him, is far worse-- 11 walks in 387. He needs to quadruple that. Bryce Eldridge drew 59 in the same number of AB, which is why his OPS is .825 while Schmitt's is .784 even though Schmitt outhomered him and matched him in runs and RBI. 

Missing at least half a dozen starts, Logan Webb is for once nowhere near the MLB lead in innings pitched (160). And since no Giant pitched more innings than Webb, none of them qualify for any of the league leader statistics such as ERA and WHIP. Webb's 1.17 WHIP would tie for 22nd if he'd pitched just one more game, but otherwise his numbers were pedestrian, for him (4.31 ERA, 7.5 K/IP). Webb and Landon Roupp did put up 17 quality starts each, out of 27 and 29 total, and out of 160 total starts (two games were '"openers"), the Giants as a team had 85 quality starts. Seeing Roupp go through an entire season without injury was a major highlight for this otherwise-mediocre rotation. Of the young guys, Molina and Tidwell combined for 8 quality starts out of 14; we are praying that Tidwell's surgery will not disable him for all of 2027.

Until MLB starts keeping track of inherited runners and how many scored, it will be more or less impossible to evaluate most relievers. What we do know is that the Giants' bullpen surrendered an unconscionable number of late-inning leads, by far the team's greatest weakness, and nobody in that group has any reason to feel secure in his job. Trent Harris, 27, who posted a 10.4 K/IP and walked only 2.7 per 9 IP,  with a 2.31 ERA and 1.16 WHIP and two saves in two opportunities, may be a keeper, though 23 innings is a small sample size indeed. Brubaker, Killian, Winn, Smith, Hentges, Seymour, and Walker combined to blow 23 saves, and heaven only knows how many other late leads that didn't qualify, in 310 forgettable innings.  

Webb's one-hit shutout of the NL East champion Atlanta Braves, two weeks before the All-Star Game, probably got him the invite. It was the best start by any Giants pitcher in 2026: Game Score 79. Webb also had a 78 and a total of five over 70; Roupp had four (75, 74, 73, 72) and Trevor (Get Well Soon) McDonald had two, out of 14 total starts that covered the entire good/bad spectrum. He also had a 2, but Webb set the low bar with a score of 1 on September 1 at Pittsburgh (2 IP, 9H, 9 ER).  Tyler Glasnow of the Dodgers, back on April 23 when we still had hope, and Dylan Cease of Toronto, on July 8 when we didn't, both posted season-best Game Scores of 88 against the Giants. Our old friend Zack Littell, now with the Washington Nationals, had the worst start, with an 11 on April 17 in D.C.  (Yes, the Giants won the game.)

Cheap Wins and Tough Losses are almost nonexistent these days, as most starters are pulled before the game is decided. The Giants got 3 Cheap Wins in 2026 (Molina, Webb, Whisenhunt). The cheapest win was Webb's on the above April 17 game in Washington; Game Score 46. As for Tough Losses, as we might expect, they're a little more common with this team. Webb and Ray each had 2, Molina, Wilkinson, Roupp and Tidwell each had one, for a total of 8. Webb, naturally, also took the toughest loss, a 2-1 decision against the Marlins in Miami on June 21, losing with a Game Score of 68. 


Roll the Statistical Parade

In 2026, good pitching correponds much more closely with winning than does good hitting. Eight of the ten top teams in ERA are in the playoffs, including all the 90+-game winners. Meanwhile, half the top run-scoring teams in the game are not in the playoffs; the Padres, Phillies, and Cleveland are in the bottom half. 

The Yankees lead all teams in ERA with a 3.24, a third of a run better than the Brewers, Red Sox, and Dodgers.  The Yankees also lead all teams in most unearned runs scored, with 82; that's almost 15 percent of their total. By contrast the Dodgers, who might yet meet them in the World Series, have allowed only 34. The Yanks crushed Boston last night at the Stadium in the first game of their wild-card series; they played error-free ball in the 9-0 win.  Whether or not this strange outlier has any effect on their postseason success remains to be seen.

The Tampa Bay Rays walked fewer batters than any team in the major leagues, and their WHIP is the lowest among all teams. By contrast the Houston Astros, who barely sneaked into the postseason by winning their division with a .500 record, walked 650, over 200 more. Astros batters drew 130 fewer walks than their pitchers allowed; we've been admirers of this team since they turned it around in 2015, and they've been the team of the past decade, but the 2026 version simply doesn't look like a playoff team from this vantage point. We expect a quick exit at the hands of the amazing White Sox, the first team to go from consecutive 100-loss seasons to a playoff berth in a two-year span. (If you will recall, the first team to go from one 100-loss season to a division title in two years were our own Giants, the Roger Craig-Al Rosen version, in 1987.)

As long as we are obsessing on walks, we note the 2026 Giants are dead last in that category. This must change!

And as long as we're talking Houston Astros, Yordan Alvarez, who just a few years ago was famous for hitting 30 home runs while batting about .190, leads the American League in batting average, OBP (.432), and walks, is second in hits, home runs, and RBI, and is third in runs scored. Pete Crow-Armstrong of the Cubs leads the NL in OPS, slugging, runs scored, and homers; he's third in RBI. Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber of the Phillies are 1-2 in walks and have hit 74 homers and driven in 212 runs between them.  Mike Trout played in 142 games this year, 109 of them in center field; he no longer puts up MVP numbers, but an .803 OPS with 22 homers and 86 runs scored moves him closer to 500 career homers, and we're just glad he's healthy and playing. He should reach 2000 hits next year; 3000 is probably out of reach now, thanks to four years of less than 100 games each at what should have been his peak. He is 35 now. Jose Ramirez is 34, and has suffered through his first really poor season-- .688 OPS, no MVP votes for the first time in 7 years, no All-Star invite. Wouldn't it be cool to see him have a monster postseason?

Cam Schittler of the Yankees tied with Dylan Cease of Toronto with 239 strikeouts, best in the A.L.; his 1.95 ERA (!) and .92 WHIP are also league-best. Sonny Gray, to whom we never paid much attention before, won 18 games for Boston to lead the A.L., along with a fine 2.72 ERA. He did not start last night's blowout loss in Game 1, though we note our old friend Erik Miller was lit up by the Yankee bats in a mercifully brief relief appearance.  Gray is scheduled to go tonight against last year's Yankee ace Max Fried. The Rays' Drew Rasmussen and Nick Martinez combined for a 31-11 mark; they'll be ready to face whoever wins the Chicago-Houston series. On the N.L. side, Cristopher Sanchez of Philadelphia also won 18 games. The National League's answer to Schittler is Milwaukee's Jacob Misiorowski (16-5, 1.80, .80 WHIP). Given that the Yankees' Pythagorean expected won-lost record was several games ahead of Tampa Bay's, a matchup between Misiorowski and Schittler in the World Series would be extra special... but then again, a Tampa-Milwaukee Series would be both wonderful and unusual. 

Outliers, a dying breed these days... let's see, Ivan Herrera of the Cardinals was hit by the pitch 31 times, more than twice as often as anyone else. That's more like it! Shohei Ohtani drew 16 intentional walks, Juan Soto 15 (in 400 AB!). Nobody else was close. Hunter Goodman, catcher for the Rockies, hit 41 homers in 518 at-bats, one homer every 12.6 at-bats to lead the majors. Is he the new Cal Raleigh? (Let's see Bryce Eldridge beat that homer/AB mark in 2027!). Bucking the trend: Gerald Perdomo, shortstop for the Diamondbacks, walked 96 times while striking out only 86 times. (As near as we can tell, he is not related to the Giants' rookie lefthander Cesar Perdomo). Juan Soto, though limited to 111 games, was at 78-65.  

Sadly, there just aren't any hilarious pitching outliers this time, nobody slinging 40 wild pitches to the backstop, hitting batters at a record rate, or inducing a prodigious number of double plays. With innings pitched per pitcher dropping like a stone, there aren't sufficient opportunities for a maverick moundsman to titillate us with such frivolities. More's the pity.  

When the postseason ends, we'll be updating the all-time records and grading the most recent trades and free-agent signings, and updating the pages listed on the right. Until then-- go Niners!

Wednesday, March 25, 2026

The San Francisco Giants Open the 2026 Season!

Pitchers

Logan Webb, R, 29   
Always in the Cy Young award discussion

Robbie Ray, L, 34  
Can he stay strong and repeat his fine 2025 season?

Landen Roupp, R, 27
Tony V will be watching his pitch counts carefully

Tyler Mahle, R, 31
Injuries limited him to 28 starts in last 4 years

Adrian Houser, R, 33
Has a two-year deal to prove himself in rotation

Ryan Walker , R, 30 
Can he hold the closer rule he lost late in 2025?

Erik Miller, L, 28 
Pitching well last summer when injury intervened 

Jose Butto, R, 28
Arrived last year in exchange for Tyler Rogers

 Keaton Winn, R, 28
Has yet to pitch a full major-league season

Spencer Bivens, R, 30
3.68 ERA over two seasons and 81 games

Matt Gage, L, 33
Lord knows, a lefty with a career 3.91 has value

Ryan Borucki, L, 32
Two-thirds of a scoreless inning in 2025 World Series

J.T. Brubaker, R, 32
Giants got him in Camilo Doval salary-dump trade

Caleb Kilian, R, 28
Can’t tell much from an 8-game major league career


Position Players

Willy Adames, SS, 30
First Giant since Bonds to reach 30 homers

Matt Chapman, 3B, 33
Tops at his position, needs plate resurgence
 
Rafael Devers ,1B, 29
So much depends on this slugger’s impact 

Luis Arraez ,2B, 29
Born hitter, batting champion, shaky fielder

Patrick Bailey, C, 27
Rated as best defensive catcher in the game
 
Heliot Ramos, LF, 26   
Solid numbers at plate, look out on the bases
 
Harrison Bader, CF, 31
Brings defense to an outfield lacking it
 
Jung-Hoo Lee, RF, 27
Quick bat, speed, and better suited to RF

Casey Schmitt, IF, 25
Plenty of innings await the utility man

Christian Koss, IF, 28
Giants have 3 shortstops and 5 outfielders

Jerar Encarnacion, OF/DH, 28  
Can he stay healthy and prove he’s got punch?

Jared Oliva, OF/DH, 30
His good spring led to Luis Matos’ departure

Daniel Susac, C, 25
Brother of former Giants catcher Andrew Susac




Tony Vitello has an interesting group of players on his hands as the Giants prepare for Opening Night at home against the New York Yankees.  The Giants have the look of a good team in a league, and a division, dominated by a great team (LA), and perhaps  two or three teams poised to have a great season (Phillies, Padres, Cubs).  And there are a lot of “good teams” in the Giants’ orbit—Reds, Brewers, Mets, Braves, Diamondbacks, perhaps even the Pirates—who, like Tony V’s team, are eyeing the three wild-card playoff spots, reachable these days with about 85 wins. There’s no question the Giants, as currently constituted, can do that. But will they?

Hiring Tony V away from our beloved Tennessee Volunteers was a bold and unorthodox move by Buster Posey.  The Giants went with seasoned, experienced “baseball men” over the six years since Bruce Bochy retired, and the last four of those years were almost interchangeable-- .500 or thereabouts, teasing us with wild-card flirtations, tending toward face-palm moments down the stretch, watching teams of similar or less talent pass them by into the postseason and, in 2023, into the World Series.  Enough already!

Enough already, agreed Buster, and he went out and found a guy with undeniable charisma, a guy renowned as a master motivator, and a man who attracts outstanding men to work around him. He’s done it— you pretty much need a scorecard, if not a Wikipedia page, to chart the Giants’ stable of new coaches. Everything about this team seems new right now, and it starts at the top, with a manager who has absolutely no professional baseball experience.  Will Tony Vitello be the next Earl Weaver or Dick Williams, or will this go down alongside the Chicago Cubs’ 1960s “College of Coaches” as an experiment that failed?

The Giants have some of what every team wants and needs. They have power, with Rafael Devers and Willy Adames.  They have Luis Arraez, a career .317 hitter, tops among active players, and one of the heroes of Team Venezuela’s WBC championship. They added an outstanding defensive center fielder to a stumbling, inadequate outfield—and likely took a lot of pressure off Jung-Hoo Lee in the bargain. They have a terrific defensive catcher and a legitimate pitching ace. They added depth to the starting rotation and changed out much of the league’s worst bullpen. On the downside, they don’t have much speed, the three starters behind Logan Webb and Robbie Ray all have injury histories, most of the relievers are unproven, there’s no dominating closer, and their infield defense will depend on late-inning replacements. 

The 2026 Giants are not going to win the division away from the Dodgers. But looking at the rest of the National League field, “We could be the 2023 Arizona Diamondbacks” is not an unrealistic hope, given the current wide-open tournament-style postseason.

Friday, March 20, 2026

 



Godspeed, Brother Chuck Norris.   Blessings to your family and loved ones. 

Saturday, January 24, 2026

John Brodie 1935-2026

 


John Brodie was our first 49er hero. We arrived in Mill Valley in 1965, and one look at Brodie-to-Dave Parks was all we needed. That '65 team scored 421 points and was entertaining, if often infuriating, every week. We were hooked, at age 9.

Now, 60 years (60 years!!!), five world championships, two Hall of Fame quarterbacks, and three stadiums later, our memories of good old Number 12 are as fresh and affectionate as ever. 

Brodie had a reputation, unfairly bestowed, as being "just good enough to get you to the big game and then get you beat." It's true that his 49ers lost three playoff games, two of them NFL championships, to Dallas in 1970-1972, two of which were eminently winnable. But it's also true that Brodie's heroics were a major part of getting those teams to the playoffs; until his arrival, the 49ers had never finished in first place. 

A few highlights from a memorable 17-year career, 9 of which years we witnessed:

1965. Brodie's breakout season at age 30. He led the league in just about every passing category, with 30 TDs and a 61.9% completion percentage, which seems modest today but which got him enough MVP votes to finish second behind Jim Brown. 

November 27, 1969. Thanksgiving Day at the Cotton Bowl. In the midst of a lousy season (2-7-1 at kickoff), with Brodie having missed 4 starts due to injuries, #12 plays a near-perfect game against the NFL's marquee franchise on national TV. He leads two third-quarter scoring drives for a 24-17 lead before Dallas ties it late. Charlie Krueger then blocks a game-winning field goal attempt and the Niners come away with a tie that feels like a win. 

December 20, 1970, at the Oakland Coliseum. Having clinched the first NFC West division title, the first time they've ever won anything, the 49ers are openly dissed by the AFC West champion Raiders, who predict they'll not only sack Brodie multiple times but knock him out of the game. Instead, the 49ers rout the Raiders 38-7, and Brodie isn't even touched as he throws three touchdown passes. It's a pity they didn't get a chance to beat Oakland again in the Super Bowl, but neither team made it. 

December 27, 1970 at Metropolitan Stadium. A week later the 49ers are in Minnesota for their first-ever postseason game. The Vikings don't trash talk, but the national media unanimously write off the Niners' chances in minus-5 degree weather. Brodie plays error-free ball, throws for a TD, and runs for another as San Francisco dominates, leading 17-7 before a Minnesota touchdown on the game's last play. Until January 10, 1982, this was the franchise's high-water mark.

December 16, 1972 at Candlestick Park. It's the Vikings again, in the season finale, and they stand between the 49ers and a third straight division title.  Brodie, 37, is on the bench late in the third quarter; he's missed 8 games with injuries and ceded his starting job to Steve Spurrier. But down 17-6 with 15 minutes to play, coach Dick Nolan calls on Number 12. Fifteen minutes later the 49ers have won, 20-17, as Brodie leads two touchdown drives, one a 99-yarder, in the final minutes. Forced to throw on every down against a great defense, he's 10 of 15 for 165 and both touchdowns-- despite two of those frustrating interceptions that so many associate with him. 

September 16, 1973, Opening Day at the Orange Bowl. Brodie's Last Stand? It's the 49ers and the undefeated world champion Miami Dolphins, and the Niners do their best to become the first team to end that unbeaten streak. Brodie, again in relief, leads the 49ers to a 13-6 lead as the fourth quarter begins. It doesn't end well as Miami puts up 15 unanswered points-- touchdown, two field goals, safety on a punt attempt-- to win 21-13. They're just a little too good. The unbeaten streak will end the following week in Oakland, and John Brodie will retire at season's end. His jersey number 12 will be also be retired.


RIP John Brodie. 49er Nation mourns our loss, and salutes one of our greatest. 


This was originally posted on our sister site. ninerboogie.com.

Wednesday, October 29, 2025

You'd Better Best to Rearrange

Well, we've been busy. We've updated all the pages over there in the right-hand column, adding players, removing players, re-evaluating players, trades, and free agents, and so forth. 

In the ever-evolving list of "Greatest Players in San Francisco Giants History," we modified the Award, Black Ink, and All-Star categories to align them more closely with the values taken from Bill James' Hall of Fame Monitor. We meant to do this a couple of years ago, when we switched the statistical baselines from WAR to Win Shares, but never completed it. Now it's all done, and there are few surprises among the all-time greats.

Barry Bonds, Willie Mays, Willie McCovey, Juan Marichal, and Buster Posey remain the top five SF Giants of all time.  Win Shares and league-leading achievements boosted the stock of Gaylord Perry past all Giants pitchers not named Marichal, with Madison Bumgarner, Tim Lincecum, and Matt Cain following in close order. Jim Ray Hart moved up past Kevin Mitchell but just missed the top twenty.  Brandon Belt vaults all the way to 12th, which seems peculiar, but the numbers don't lie. Playing on two world champions and four playoff teams certainly helped, but he did most of it on the field; his 164 WS are more than Jeff Kent, J.T. Snow, or Matt Williams.

Tim Lincecum did more with fewer Win Shares than anybody; his 95 are the lowest among the top 20 and are less than Jim Barr, Rich Aurilia, or Chris Speier. But "The Freak" compiled 83 points by doing things like leading the league in strikeouts, winning two Cy Young Awards, pitching for three world champions, and so forth. All that accounts for 47% of his total, and he's 17th among all-time Giants. Subjectively, we'd rate him much higher.


Now, we'll have plenty to say about Tony Vitello leaving our beloved Tennessee Vols to manage our beloved Giants at another time. For now, page through whatever interests you, and pull for those Blue Jays to take down that Evil Empire!

Friday, October 3, 2025

End of the Regular Season

FINAL NATIONAL LEAGUE WEST STANDINGS            

                  W L GB
Los Angeles 93 69 Defending champs face tough road
San Diego 90 72 3 Off to Chicago for wild-card series
GIANTS         81 81 12 Hot start, cold middle, tepid finish
Arizona         80 82 13 Lots of injuries wrecked their year
Colorado        43    119 50 Can't anybody here play this game?
  

Two days after the Giants' season ended in disappointing fashion for the fourth straight year, Buster Posey fired Bob Melvin as manager.  His successor is unknown at this time, but the Giants' new GM has sent a clear signal that the win-one lose-one on-again off-again play that has characterized this team since the epochal 2021 campaign-- Posey's last as a player-- has to stop, and no one is so valuable as to be immune from the consequences. 

Melvin is a fine baseball manager, and no one who knows the game disputes it. But this year's bewildering mid-season tumble from a tie for first place down to fourth place in one month, and then, on top of that, a 2-8 September nosedive after getting back into the race-- well, that required drastic action. It was all too reminiscent of Gabe Kapler's 2022 and 2023 el foldo finishes, and that's a place no Giants player, manager, fan, or GM wants to revisit. 

Posey himself may have made an unwise visit to Panic Beach in late July when, on the day the Giants completed a 13-26 collapse, he traded away the team's best reliever, Tyler Rogers, along with the shaky Camilo Doval, for prospects. The prospects are good-- former Tennessee Vol Drew Gilbert is a player, and he's fun to watch-- but it sure looked like a punt, if not a surrender. Posey, of course, could not have known that in short order his two best remaining relievers-- Randy Rodriguez and Erik Miller- would both be lost for the season with injuries. Almost overnight the Giants' bullpen went from one of the league's best to one of its worst.

The single most important statistic of the Giants' 2025 season, indicating where it all went so wrong, is this: following the Rafael Devers trade on June 15, the Giants blew ten games where they held the lead in the late innings. Ten games.  Had they held on to just half of them, they'd be in the playoffs today-- and Bob Melvin would still have a job. 



We haven't checked, but 2025 may be the first Giants season in which we didn't make a single update on this blog between Opening Day and the end of the campaign. It was close, though. On Saturday, September 13, with 15 games remaining in the season, we were about to start a Pennant Race update. The Giants had just beaten the Dodgers on a walk-off tenth-inning homer by Patrick Bailey, and that looked for all the world like the kind of win that could propel a team to smoke the opposition, whoever they might be, down the stretch and on into October. They'd completed a 13-4 run at that moment to vault back into wild-card contention, and the New York Mets were mired in a horrific slump and only a game or two ahead. 
 
"Let's see how the weekend plays out," we decided. 

Logan Webb was shelled on Saturday. Robbie Ray was shelled on Sunday. Seven losses in eight games later, the Giants were done, and, as it turned out, so was Bob Melvin.


As we all remember, the Giants broke out of the gate with a bang, winning eight of their first nine games. It was no mirage; they scored 49 runs and allowed only 30 during that stretch, a .700 pace.  They settled down then, as good teams do, maintaining their win-loss margin through the first 60 games. At 33-28 on June 3, they then reeled off seven straight wins and another 8 of 9 to tie the Dodgers for first place in the division on the 13th. A midseason surge like that is also is the kind of thing winning teams do, and at that moment the Giants sure looked the part. Two days later came the Devers trade, and then that dreadful two-month stretch which featured two four-game losing streaks, two six-game losing streaks, and one seven-game losing streak. At the end of it, in late August, they were seven games to the bad. There was still enough time to overcome it-- but by then it was becoming clear this team didn't have what it takes to pull it off. 

The Giants scored 705 runs on the season, tenth in the league, and allowed 684, eighth. Every NL playoff team allowed fewer runs; of those, only the Padres scored fewer. San Francisco's expected record of 83-79 was identical to that of the Cincinnati Reds, who beat out the Mets for the third wild-card spot (and who have already been eliminated in two games by the Dodgers).  The Reds, though, also underperformed their expected record by two games.  Thus the Giants landed right where they deserved to land.

By a favorite measure, Wins Above Average by Position (itself based on the WAR formulae), the Giants come in at 80-82 instead of 81-81, well within the margin of error but certainly unimpressive. They're sixth in overall pitching WAA, with the early-season lights-out success of their bullpen holding them up; the starting rotation is slightly below average. They're slightly below average as well across all batting and fielding positions; Matt Chapman is again tops at third base, Willy Adames is well above average at short, and they're below average everywhere else. Weakest spot? The entire outfield, slightly below the mark at each spot, and two wins below average overall. 

At a glance the Giants' lineup looks pretty good. Chapman, Devers, and Adames form a solid heart-of-the-order. Jung Hoo Lee is fast, as is Heliot Ramos; both have the physical skills to be leadoff men, but OBPs of .327 and .328 are nowhere near what the leadoff spot demands. And over the season the leadoff spot produced a .304. 'Nuff said. Outside the big three, only Dominic Smith, in 204 ABs, has a decent OBP.  He's also the only Giant to hit above .270. It's not that the Giants don't draw walks-- they're fifth in the league-- but their team batting average is 14th in the league at .235, ahead of only the last-place Pirates.  

The Giants' best pitcher down the stretch was Justin Verlander, who spent the first two-thirds of the year as the losingest pitcher in baseball. Despite his 4-11 mark (team record 10-19) he posted a 3.85 ERA (NL average 4.22) and a composite Game Score of 51. The Giants scored only 3.9 runs per game for him, half a run less than anyone else, but it was worse than that; many of those runs were scored after the future Hall of Famer had left the game. Over the last third of the season he posted 10 quality starts in 13 games including marks of 81, 72, and 72.  It seems unlikely Verlander, who wants to pitch in 2026, will come back, even though run support tends to fluctuate from year to year. Who could blame him? 

Robbie Ray's first half was so good that he was an easy choice for the All-Star Game, but over his last six starts only one was up to his standard. That definitely hurt. Logan Webb again emerged as the ace; he led the league in innings pitched, starts, batters faced, and strikeouts with 224. Overall the Giants used 14 starters in 2025; young Landon Roupp was the best of the rest but battled injuries all year long and made only 22 starts. Nobody else did much, although rookie Trevor McDonald made two fine starts in the season's final weeks. We've seen that before, many times, and we'll withhold judgment for now.  As for the bullpen, absent the traded Rogers and the injured Rodriguez and Miller, we've nothing to say. 

The Giants need to add at least one proven starter, and they need a bullpen overhaul. They need to add at least one solid every-day outfielder, and perhaps two, although both Lee and Ramos probably did just enough to hold their spots for another year. On the positive side, they have an excellent infield, a great defensive catcher, a strong bench, one legitimate starting ace, possibly another if they don't trade Ray, and a couple of young starters. They aren't that far away, but they aren't that close, either.    

And then there's this: when we review the top 20 Giants this year as measured by WAR, we see a total of 7 WAR, the equivalent of one MVP-quality player, was either traded away or lost to injury. 



The Giants were 22-10 in Ray's starts, 18-16 with Webb, 10-19 with Verlander, and 12-10 with Landon Roupp.  Quality starts: Webb 24, Ray 22, Verlander 17, Roupp 11.  They scored 4.8 runs per game for Ray, 4.4 for both Webb and Roupp, and 3.9 for Verlander. Rookie Carson Whisenhunt received 6.8 runs per game in his five starts; he went 2-3, but they did score 12 runs for him twice.

Best start of the year was by Verlander on August 16 at home against Tampa: 7 IP, 2H, 0BB, 8K, Game Score 81. And true to form, the bullpen blew that game, a 2-1 loss in the middle of that dreadful midsummer meltdown.  The worst start was by rookie Kai-Wei Teng just three days earlier against San Diego. He didn't get out of the second inning, surrendering seven runs, six earned, on four hits and four walks for a Game Score of 17.  The best start by an opposing pitcher was Brandon Pfaadt at Arizona on September 17: a complete-game one-hitter with 7 K, Game Score 91, beating Verlander, who put up a 72 himself. It was a real pitchers' duel, rare these days.  The worst start was a meltdown by Baltimore's Dean Kremer on August 29: three innings, allowing seven runs, all earned, on nine hits and two walks. Game Score: 21. This was an Oracle Park slugfest, thankfully won by the Giants 13-8 on a day where Robbie Ray didn't last much longer than Kremer. 

Willy Adames is the first San Francisco Giant to reach 30 home runs in a season since Barry Bonds hit 45 in 2004.  And Rafael Devers tied a bizarre major-league record by playing in 163 games in 2025. 

Only four Giants-- Devers, Adames, Ramos, and Lee-- had enough at-bats to qualify for the batting title. Adames' 30 homers are good enough for 29th in this homer-saturated game. Rafael Devers hit 35, tied for 12th, 15 with Boston and 20 with the Giants.  He also drew 109 walks, third in MLB, scored 99 runs (13th), drove in 109 (9th), and hit 33 doubles (22nd). In case any of you all are still wondering, yes, he is the real deal, one of the best pure hitters in baseball. His OPS was .851, tied for 16th.  As for Lee, his 12 triples, third in MLB, are two short of Angel Pagan's franchise record set in 2012. Those 12 triples, plus 31 doubles, boost his SLG to .407, which is very good for a .266 hitter who doesn't hit home runs.  Those of you who were hoping Ramos would improve on his rookie year shouldn't exactly be disappointed; his 21 homers and 85 runs are good, if not among the league leaders. His baserunning exploits are, unfortunately, well-known; he stole six bases but was caught four times, which is a lot worse than simply staying put. 

Webb led the league in strikeouts, as we mentioned above, though AL'ers Garrett Crochet and Tarik Skubal (we spent all of 2024 thinking his name was "Tank") had more. Webb's 3.22 ERA is 16th in MLB, Ray is 23rd with a 3.65, way down from his first-half numbers.  His 1.22 WHIP ranks 24th; Webb is 30th at 1.24. Ryan Walker's 17 saves are 24th in MLB. He also blew seven saves. The dear departed Camilo Doval had 16-- fifteen for the Giants and one (1) with the Yankees. 

Who won the Devers trade? Well, the simple answer for 2025 has to be "Boston." They made the playoffs and the Giants didn't. At the time of the trade, the Sox were on a downward spiral with fans threatening to mutiny; the Giants were tied for first place and had just beaten LA.  As soon as the trade was completed, it seems, the teams promptly took off in opposite directions. Nobody is really stupid enough to believe the Sox won and the Giants lost because of Devers; but we can't say the trade has hurt Boston in the short term, either, especially if they beat the Yankees in this wild-card series and go deep into the playoffs. We can say the guys the Giants sent to them, Kyle Harrison and Jordan Hicks, have had little to do with the Red Sox' late success. 


Roll the Statistical Parade

Teams on average allow about 50 or 60 unearned runs per year. The Giants this year were near the top of the list with 75. Boston led all contending teams with 80, and worst overall were, as you might expect, the woeful Rockies, who allowed 89 unearned out of a staggering total of 1021. Best of the bunch were the Atlanta Braves, who allowed only 38-- but their pitchers kept themselves busy allowing earned runs, 696 total, more than the White Sox and 22nd among the 30 teams. 

There's little doubt that the Phillies' Cristopher Sanchez will win the NL Cy Young Award. BBRef has him with 8 WAR, better than anyone in the game not named Aaron Judge. Whether or not Judge wins another MVP depends on the voters' affection for Seattle's amazing catcher Cal Raleigh. The young man hit sixty (60!) home runs, the first catcher ever to do so, and his team won the division in impressive manner, dethroning the perennial Houston Astros, who faded down the stretch not unlike the Giants and missed the postseason entirely for the first time since 2016.  

Sanchez is only 24; Raleigh is 28, and he's put up some good seasons with the bat before, but nothing like this: 110 runs scored, 125 RBI to lead the league, 97 walks and a .948 OPS to go with the 60 homers, all while catching 121 games (he did DH 38 times, but still). 

Is it time for Juan Soto to win the MVP? Though he didn't walk more times than he struck out this year, for a change, there's still 120 runs, 110 RBI, 43 homers, a league-leading 38 steals with only 4 CS,  and of course 127 walks. His team stumbled down the stretch and lost a "gimme" wild-card spot, and while it's hardly his fault, we may be looking at another top-5 finish without the trophy. And though Kyle Schwarber is, we believe, as valuable as any hitter in the game (56 homers, 111 runs, league-leading 132 RBI and a .928 OPS, second only to Shohei Ohtani), he's never finished higher than 15th in the vote despite some monster seasons. It's just unlikely the voters will ever honor a DH.

Ohtani has already won three MVPs, two in the AL and last year in the NL, and he'll be encroaching into Barry Bonds territory if he wins his fourth this year. He'd be the first to win it twice in both leagues. It kinda seems inevitable, don't it?  He's the starting pitcher for tonight's division series opener at Philadelphia, and while the MVP votes are already in, that again underscores how phenomenally unique he is. 

Speaking of repeat winners, is there any real competition for Tarik Skubal in the AL Cy Young sweepstakes? A 2.21 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, 241 K, and his team is in the playoffs. But real competition there is, with Max (19-5) Fried, Garrett (18-6 ) Crochet, and our old buddy Carlos Rodon (18-9). All of them have ERA under 3.10 and all pitch for playoff qualifiers.

Speaking of old buddies, former Giant Zack Littell had a nice season for himself in Cincinnati, part of a good starting rotation which includes lefties Andrew Abbott and Nick Lodolo, both of whom we saw three years ago at the GABP, and Hunter Greene. Yes, they got lit up pretty well in the wild-card series against LA, but it still looks like a good young group going forward; the above three are all 27 or younger (Littell is 29). And we'll see "old buddy" Kevin Gausman starting tomorrow's series opener for the Blue Jays in Toronto against the Yankees. Gausman didn't have a "Cy Young"-type season in 2025, but he was and is an ace starter, and he has a tremendous lineup behind him-- almost as good as the one he'll be facing. 

Is Texas outfielder Adolis Garcia the worst every-day hitter in the major leagues? Combine a .227 average with 28 walks in 507 AB and you get a .271 OBP. He has a little power (19 HR) and usually bats fourth, though it's hard to see why. Among qualifiers, White Sox second baseman Lenyn Sosa drew the fewest walks (18 in 518 AB) and struck out 127 times (though he did hit .264, which nudged his OPB "up" to .294). On the other side of the coin we have a couple of Blue Jays: Vlad Guerrero junior (81 BB, 94 K) and catcher Alejandro Kirk (48 and 59). Then there's Jose Ramirez, whom we never get tired of praising, and who once again is out of the playoffs too early: 66 BB, 74 K, .863 OPS, 30 homers, 103 runs, 85 RBI, 44 steals with only 7 caught. At 33 years old, is there anything this guy can't do well, and will he ever win a MVP award? 

And whither Mike Trout? The once-surefire Hall of Famer is also 33, and coming off a season which can only be called weak for him, though pretty good for most guys: 130 games .797 OPs, 26 long balls to bring his career total up to 404, and 1.5 WAR. He hasn't scored or driven in 100 runs in a season since 2019, and while he played in 130 games this year, also his best total since 2019, 106 of those games were as DH. We don't believe there ever has been a three-time MVP who isn't in the Hall of Fame, but to see this one-time All-World center fielder reduced to DH duty, with middling DH numbers, in the midst of a six-year decline is troubling and disappointing for one of the game's Really Good Guys.  

If Seattle goes deep in the playoffs, expect to see Randy Arozarena get hit by a pitch. He led all of baseball with 27 plunks this year, about one every 26 at-bats, almost twice as many as anyone else. The well-traveled Charlie Morton, with Detroit, hit 14 batters, more than any other postseason pitcher, so keep your eyes on those two in the upcoming division series. 

The modern game tends to depress enjoyable outliers in the statistics, so there's not much oddball stuff to report. Seranthony Dominguez of the Blue Jays was one of three pitchers to uncork 12 wild pitches this year; presumably Aaron Boone has taken notice.  Nobody balked more than three times this year, and nobody hit more than nine sac flies or dropped more than 7 sac bunts. Cal Raleigh, to no one's surprise, has the lowest groundball-to-flyball ratio of any qualifying batter this year; his opposite number is Tampa Bay's Yandy Diaz, who puts 60% of 'em on the ground. A Tampa teammate, Junior Caminero, grounded into 31 double plays this year, leaving his closest competitor, the wonderful Jose Altuve, in the dust. Caminero, though, hits as many in the air as he does on the ground, but perhaps not as often with men on base.  

The list of the ground-ball-centric pitchers is short: the Angels' Luis Soriano (2.79 to 1!), Houston's Framber Valdez, the Cardinals' Andre Pallante, our own Logan Webb, the Phillies' ace Sanchez, and the Mets' Clay Holmes and David Peterson. Mostly National Leaguers. No surprise, therefore, that Soriano coaxed 30 ground-ball double plays; we wonder how many of them were against Junior Caminero. At the farthest end of the spectrum we find the Reds' Andrew Abbott at 0.49.  And while most of the heavy strikeout pitchers tend to get the ball up in the air when it's hit, Garrett Crochet is an exception. This guy gets more ground balls than fly balls, and his K/9 is still second only to Dylan Cease of San Diego. It's pity they're both already out of the playoffs. 
















 

Thursday, March 6, 2025

Pushin' Too Hard

This was originally intended for and published on our sister site, Niner Boogie.  But the issues we discuss here affect baseball, if anything, more than football right now. We believe the NFL has done a better job of late addressing the disconnect that exists between the tactics of players and coaches on one hand, and the enjoyment of fans on the other. How the NFL addresses this current topic may prove instructive for fans of both sports. 


There's talk that the NFL Competition Committee might outlaw the "tush-push", or, as it's known to Philadelphia sportscasters, the "Brotherly Shove."  The Eagles love it; most other teams despise it, or so we are told. The question before the committee is whether this is a true "football play," or whether it's something else, something non-sporting, not in agreement with the way the game is meant to be played. 

The tush-push is actually a new variation on the old "flying wedge" from the late 1800s. While the execution is different, the principle is the same: surround the ball carrier with teammates on all sides, and use main strength to push the defense out of the way en masse. 


Developed on the playing fields of Harvard, Yale, Princeton and the other great football powers of the late 19th century, the "flying wedge" involved lead blockers locking arms together, with the ballcarrier tucked inside the nose of the wedge, and two or three teammates behind to push the ballcarrier forward at the moment the wedge collided with the defense. 

The wedge was, like the tush-push, used at the line of scrimmage, and variations developed to attack targeted defensive positions and even to shift the wedge to the left or the right. But the signature use of the "flying wedge," the tactic that gave its name, was on kickoffs, when the locked-arms mass of blockers charged down the field like a runaway train and smashed head-on into the defense. To the unprepared opponent it was all but unstoppable. 

Defenses were forced to come up with counter measures. One was the "wedge buster," a superior athlete with both size and speed, who launched his own body at the nose of the wedge. The great Pudge Heffelfinger of Yale was such a player; he was famed for smashing, airborne, into the wedge.  Remember Washington linebacker Frankie Luvu leaping over the Philly line and being called twice for offsides in the NFC Championship Game? That's what he was trying to do-- be the wedge buster, hit QB Jalen Hurts head-on, and collapse the wedge from above. 

The flying wedge was outlawed in the early 1900s because the collisions were leaving players dead on the field. Blockers can no longer link arms to form a mass. In later years, tactics such as pulling a teammate downfield or over the line to advance the ball were also forbidden. Pushing a player forward, however, is still legal, for now.

The great success (77%) of the tush-push in short-yardage situations is undeniable. While we may not recall a specific game in which the play resulted in a game-winning TD for the Eagles, their ability to execute it consistently well is certainly a factor in their success.  And that leads us to an ongoing, and likely never-ending, conflict of interests that has become a major  issue in baseball and, in this instance anyway, an issue in football.

That conflict is between the strategies and tactics that players and coaches deploy to give their teams the best chance of winning, and the style of play that makes the games more enjoyable for the fans who support the sport.    

This conflict has become more prevalent, and more acute, with the advent of sophisticated analytics which are used to create models that can accurately predict tendencies that are tied to the winning and losing of games.

We yield to no one in our admiration for the life and work of Bill James, who pioneered the practice of determining which measurable factors can be analyzed to determine what "works" on a baseball field and what doesn't. What "works," of course, is defined as that which contributes to the winning of games. Understanding that the ratio between runs scored and runs allowed is the foundation of a team's won-lost record in baseball, James identified the various measurable events that make up the creation of runs, and presented them in a simple formula that could be, and has been, used to predict won-lost records.  

The acceptance of analytics by "baseball men" took a generation to accomplish, but accomplish it has, and now every team has predictive models that show which events at bat or on the mound tend to be productive -- to generally increase a team's chances of winning consistently-- and which ones don't. And therefore, which tendencies ought to be encouraged.

This is the logic behind the "three true outcomes" approach to hitting, and, in a slightly lesser degree, to pitching--  home runs, walks, and strikeouts, which remove the uncertainty of fielding and baserunning from the equation and focus on those events directly related to the batter-pitcher dialogue. Batting statistics, at the team level, are directly correlated with runs scored and therefore with wins. Pitching statistics, while not quite as easy to isolate, are also quantifiable toward run prevention. The most difficult statistics to isolate and analyze are fielding statistics, and the measurable effect fielding stats have on pitching stats, and therefore on overall defense, has yet to be harmonized. 
  
Hitters are encouraged to wait, "get a good pitch to hit," and "drive the ball in the air"-- axioms propounded by the great Ted Williams 80 years ago. A walk is as good as a hit. And pitchers are encouraged to throw as hard as they can for as long as they can, to rack up as many strikeouts as possible before their arm tires. 

So baseball today is filled with strikeouts and home runs, and with pitchers who throw as hard as they can for a few innings and then turn the game over to another pitcher and then another, innings per pitcher diminishing with each change, four, five, and six changes per game per team. These are the strategies and tactics that, over the course of a season, are expected to result in more runs scored, fewer runs allowed, and therefore more wins.  It's not that managers and players discount fielding, or, for that matter, that they ignore an ace starter who can go the distance. It's that at the individual batter-pitcher level-- and every player is either a batter or a pitcher-- the TTO are emphasized because their outcomes can be predicted and their tendencies can be coached. 

What's missing is the "old style" of playing baseball, what was once called, and now seems quaint to say, the "thinking man's game." The idea of a "duel" between two starting pitchers, each working through the innings, constantly adjusting to outwit the opposing batters, has been replaced to great extent by a parade of pitchers on both sides, increasingly indistinguishable from one another. The multi-faceted offense, with "table-setters" followed by "RBI men," is diminished in favor of power hitters now being standard equipment through the lineup. And we have a game that is geared toward the bottom line-- wins-- but one that is not nearly as pleasing or enjoyable to watch as the "old style", which included some strategies and tactics proven ineffective at predicting a consistent winner, but which charmed the folks in the seats and held our attention. 

Bill James himself has written of late about his awareness of this uncomfortable trend, and about the necessity of "baseball men" to make adjustments needed to preserve the fan's interest and enjoyment. Some of those adjustments have been applied in recent years, not to "speed up the game" in order to "get it over with," as the curmudgeons complain, but to produce a more brisk, enjoyable game with less dead time.  

Back to football. The tush-push is certainly successful, but is it in the best interest of the game? Does its success squeeze the drama out of what have historically been the most intense plays--  fourth down and short, or goal-to go? Remember 15 years ago when Bill Belichick went for it on fourth-and-one against the Colts inside his own 30, and failed? It cost the Patriots the game and possibly home-field  for the playoffs. The fallout from that play went on for weeks, with endless discussion and controversy. That kind of gamble might become ancient history if most teams adopt the tush-push, and in a copycat league it's certain many will. 

Even more critically, what would the general adoption of this tactic do to the goal-line stand, among the most thrilling of plays? We're 49er fans, after all. Who can forget the classic stand against the Bengals in Super Bowl XVI, the NFL version of Pickett's Charge? Or the incredible six-play goal line stand in 2001? Or Dre Greenlaw's goal-line tackle against the Seahawks five years ago? All those types of plays-- doomed to obsolescence by a mass of humanity deployed to win a shoving match?   

Football, as with all sports, is enriched by uncertainty, by action, by chances taken and risks challenged on the field of play. As fans, we love the unexpected and distrust predictability. Not that long ago the dull and predictable "automatic" extra point was taken out of its comfort zone and moved back 25 yards. It's still a high-success play, but as Jake Moody knows all too well, it is not "automatic" any more, and games-- Super Bowls-- can turn on one ill-timed miss.  

Should the NFL outlaw the tush-push, it won't be as simple as that. Effectively, the general practice of "pushing" a ballcarrier forward, in any situation, will have to be eliminated across the board. Any such rule change must avoid isolating one play, and instead prohibit the underlying tactic. To do otherwise would be unfair to the Eagles, and would set a bad precedent.

As a parting note, we can't help but see the irony in this story. The tush-push has now become the Philadelphia Eagles' signature play, whether for good or bad. But just seven years ago, the Philadelphia Eagles' signature play was a very different one-- the "Philly Special."  And the Philly Special is the total antithesis of the tush-push; it's innovative, unpredictable, multi-directional, and exciting, and as it unfolded on the field it appeared doomed to failure. Yet it worked, and spectacularly so, to the delight of everyone except a Patriots fan. It's everything the tush-push is not.

We'd bet half the NFL fans in America today have forgotten the name (Brandon Graham) of the player  who made the play that actually won that Super Bowl for the Eagles. But everyone remembers the Philly Special.

There's a lesson in there somewhere. 





Thursday, January 16, 2025

Bob Uecker 1934-2025

 



AS the tributes pour in for the late Bob Uecker, the wonderful and funny "Mr. Baseball," we decided to post up a reminder to everyone that before he became a legend, Bob Uecker really was a ballplayer. Here he is, second from the left in the top row (not the "front rooow") with the World Champion St Louis Cardinals of 1964.  

No, the ol "Ueck" didn't get to play in that Series, but he did get the ring, even if he'd later tell America, as a favored guest on the "Tonight Show," that he'd stolen it. He made himself a career as the archetype of an irresistible, wholly American story, the regular guy toiling in obscurity among and alongside the greats, the immortals, while hoping just to stay in the game a little longer. It was such a perfectly relatable tale that we ourselves adopted it back in our stand-up days, claiming to be "The Bob Uecker of Rock & Roll." And please let's not forget he did play twelve years in professional baseball, six of those years in the major leagues. Who among us-- of a certain age, perhaps-- wouldn't trade a whole lot of what we have now for what he had then?  

Bob Uecker never had to. He stayed right in the game, becoming the voice of his home-town Milwaukee Brewers for over fifty years, and the voice of baseball itself for countless millions. He  represented the best that baseball has to offer, a warm, hearty, self-effacing ambassador, carrying a simple joy that was rooted in his love of baseball, his love of life, and his love of people. 

And so, the world inside and outside of baseball has loved him back. That world has gotten juuuuust a bit smaller and sadder today.   

Wednesday, October 2, 2024

MOGGA: Make Our Giants Great Again

 

Final National League West Standings

                W L GB

Los Angeles 98 64 Ohtani finally in the postseason
San Diego 93 69 5 Host Braves in wild-card series
Arizona         89 73 9 Eliminated on Monday
GIANTS         80 82 18 There'll be some changes made
Colorado  61 101 47 Some things never change


Monday's small earthquake, whose epicenter was just northeast of Third and King Streets, has pretty much overshadowed the usual ruminations and recriminations following an unsuccessful Giants season.  Farhan Zaidi is out, and astonishingly (at least to us), the great Buster Posey has stepped into the role as president of baseball operations. Buster has been periodically visible over the past few years since his retirement, identifying himself with the team, the City, and the ownership group. "He doesn't want the job," was the most common opinion on social media, but that changed two weeks ago when it was learned (leaked?) that he had a hand in negotiating the final conditions of Matt Chapman's six-year deal. Whether or not that was done to subtly undercut Farhan's standing, that's what it accomplished, and in the wake of all this (not to mention the wake of three straight losing seasons), the decision now looks inevitable. With that said, Buster Posey's unmatched Giants pedigree and credibility bring a warm and reassuring sense of optimism to all things Giant at the moment. 

Farhan Zaidi's legacy is, of course, uneven, with one phenomenal and historic season balanced against three mediocre ones. He'll be forever linked with manager Gabe Kapler, whose record is similar-- brief but unsustainable success. Zaidi took over in 2019, and being a Canadian, an outsider, a former Dodger executive, and a "stats geek," he was an easy target for unhappy fans. The most unfair and unwarranted claim was that he somehow "pushed out" or "forced out" Bruce Bochy as manager, which is an easily disproven lie. "Boch" at the time was 65, he'd been managing non-stop for 25 years, the Giants had lost 272 games his last three seasons, and he wanted, he needed, to take a break. He took three years off, after all; he could have had his pick of managerial jobs immediately otherwise.   

Farhan made two exceptionally good player decisions. Trading for Mike Yastrzemski was an all-timer, giving up no value for two superb seasons and four solid years. The midseason trade for Kris Bryant was an immediate success; it's unlikely the Giants would have won 107 games and the division without him. And letting Bryant go elsewhere afterward has also proven a wise decision. He found value in pitchers like Kevin Gausman, Carlos Rodon, and Tyler Anderson without breaking the bank.  But the "bargain bin hunting" approach did not yield success over the last three years, and of the "big" free agents signed last offseason, only Chapman and (probably) Robbie Ray are certain to stay. Jorge Soler is already gone (Zaidi should get some credit for swiftly recognizing that necessity) and Blake Snell's status is up in the air.

In the end, that great 2021 season was fueled by outstanding seasons from five players: Brandon Crawford, Buster Posey, Brandon Belt, Logan Webb, and Kevin Gausman. Three of the five were established stars before Farhan arrived, and those three had their last great season that year. None of them have been replaced, at least not yet, and only Webb-- drafted by Brian Sabean-- remains.     


Do the Giants, based on what we saw in the second half of the season, have the core of a contending team? Teams that finish the season strong tend to do well the next season; the Giants were 33-32 after the break, which is hardly "strong." September has not been kind to the Giants lately, and this year was true to form: they were 11-13 down the stretch. The best news the team received in the second half was breakout performances by Blake Snell and Robbie Ray. Snell put up 13 quality starts, most of them high-quality, out of 14 overall. Ray made seven starts before being shut down; five of them were excellent. Heliot Ramos, who made the All-Star Game, and Tyler Fitzgerald showed they're real players, along with Patrick Bailey, who did so a year ago.  The other youngsters-- Grant McCray, Brett Wisely, Jerar Encarnacion, and possibly Casey Schmitt, remain in the "hopeful" category, which has a quick expiration date.  Jung Hoo Lee, whose early injury seemed to cast a pall over the Giants' whole season, will return in 2025 to give the Giants two-thirds of a fine outfield. Matt Chapman is as good a third baseman as there is in baseball. So left, center, catcher, third base, and shortstop are settled. That leaves three spots, four if we count the DH. Soler wasn't the guy, but a real power threat at DH or first base would really help this group.  As would a starting first baseman and second baseman. 

If the Giants can offer Snell enough money and perks to stay ("I like it here," he said last week), it looks like a strong rotation with Webb, young Kyle Harrison, and a healthy Ray. Out of Hayden Birdsong, Mason Black, Keaton Winn, Tristan Beck, Landon Roupp, and the mercurial Jordan Hicks, we can hope at least one young starter will emerge.  Without Snell, or a quality replacement (Jordan Montgomery?), we're back to a guessing game.  And we expect wholesale changes in the bullpen; no one there is indispensable, though Ryan Walker and Tyler Rogers are the most likely to stay and Camilo Doval is arbitration-eligible. 

  
The Giants didn't have a lot of team outliers this year, though they were 18-9 in the increasingly rare category of "pitchers' duels."  Wednesdays and Fridays were their best days of the week, and Tuesdays by far the worst.  They did a little better in the daytime (33-30) than at night (47-52). They were 16-17 in Logan Webb's 33 starts, 14-10 in Kyle Harrison's, and 14-6 in Snell's.  Young Hayden Birdsong generally pitched well, but the Giants lost 10 of his 16 decisions.  Keaton Winn (3-9) suffered from atrocious run support (2.6), while the team scored a robust 5.5 per start for Harrison. Jordan Hicks (8-12), who started off so well some were touting him as an All-Star, got average support. As near as we can tell, he just  ran out of gas in late June; the Giants lost his last five starts.  The team was 7-5 when using "openers," mostly Erik Miller; the last of those was on July 28, a day game after the Giants' lone doubleheader.  

Quality starts: Webb 22, Snell 13, Hicks, Harrison, and Birdsong 10. Snell's average Game Score was 60, remarkable considering his lousy start (over his last three months he averaged 71).  Webb averaged 55, Ray 54 (in seven starts), Birdsong 51, Harrison 50, and Hicks 50. Those last three are fine numbers for rookies pitching in the major leagues; hope springs eternal in the human arm. 

Cheap wins (another endangered species): Hicks, Webb, Harrison. Tough losses: Webb 2, Winn 2, Birdsong 2, Black, Roupp. 

Best start: Snell's no-hitter on August 2 in Cincinnati, of course (Game Score 95). Worst: Daulton Jefferies' only start, at San Diego in the season's fourth game (11). Six weeks later he was traded to Pittsburgh. Worst start from a regular pitcher was Birdsong in Washington, four days after Snell's gem: Game Score 13.  Atlanta's Chris Sale, who may miss the playoffs, had the best start against the Giants, a 83 on August 12 at Oracle Park. He didn't get the decision but the Braves won in 10. It was the pitchers' duel of the year, as Snell put up a 77 in opposition.  And on the 23rd anniversary of the cowardly attack on America, also at Oracle, Colin Rea of Milwaukee was clobbered by the Giants and posted a big fat zero for this efforts. It didn't slow down the Brewers much.  The worst combined start by both pitchers was 53 on August 6 in Washington. Birdsong put up a 16 and the Nationals' McKenzie Gore got the win with a 37.  And the biggest starting pitcher mismatch was Rea's aforementioned meltdown, because Snell had him 61-0 that day.

No Giant (we seem to say this every year) was near the top in any kind of offensive category; only Chapman and Ramos had enough plate appearances to qualify for the batting title. They tied for 33rd with a .791 OPS. The team leader was Tyler Fitzgerald at .831, good enough for 23rd if he qualified. LaMonte Wade's .380 OBP led the team, down from last year. He's a "tweener"-- good enough to play, not good enough to start regularly.   The left side of the Giants' infield-- Chapman and Fitzgerald-- was a combined 32 of 38 stealing bases.  If you are a fan of WAR, Chapman posted a 7.1, MVP level, and much of that on defense. This year he rates as the best third baseman in the game by both WAR and WAA. 

Logan Webb, as usual, was among the leaders in innings pitched and starts, and faced more batters than anyone, but he was down to 27th in strikeouts and 39th in WHIP.  He had six bad (GS below 40) starts this year, which is unlike him. As the hardest-working pitcher in the game, he needs to be sensitive to wear and tear, although the bad starts did not cluster at season's end.  Blake Snell didn't pitch enough innings to qualify, but his 1.05 WHIP is sensational, considering how the season began for him, and would rate 8th in MLB.  Camilo Doval had 23 saves before his fall from grace, still good enough for 14th overall.  Ryan Walker, who took over the closer role, had 10. 

As a team the Giants were 17th in MLB in runs, 16th in homers, 14th in walks, 21st in OBP, 19th in OPS.  On the pitching side, 19th in ERA, 16th in runs allowed, 22nd in WHIP.   They gave up 46 unearned runs, which is pretty good by comparison; most teams are in the 60s.  

In BBRef's wonderful "Wins Above Average By Position," the Giants' pitchers rank 20th, with the bullpen slightly ahead of the starters.  Their best position by far is third base, of course, and their worst second base, where they rank 28th, about even with the 121-loss White Sox, at minus-two.  Overall the Giants rank almost three wins below average, which is 78; they won 80. We knew they hired Bob Melvin for a reason, right?


Roll the statistical parade 

The Chicago White Sox, having set the modern record for losses, head up all sorts of interesting statistical categories, all of 'em bad. They scored only 507 runs, nearly 100 less than any other team. Average, OBP, slugging, all at the bottom. They only hit 9 triples. They did steal 90 bases, more than seven other teams including the Yankees, Tigers, and of course the Giants, though they did so at a lower success rate. On the pitching side, they had a better ERA than Miami or the Rockies, though that's not adjusted for park effects. They allowed 75 unearned runs and 201 homers.  The "WAA" stat compiler look like it might not be able to handle extremes; it has the Chisox at 26 wins below average, which is 55 wins, or 14 more than they won. They're dead last in position players, but surprisingly almost normal in pitching. Worst lineup and outfield in the game...  The Los Angeles Dodgers' recent pitching woes continue. Team ERA 3.90, 13th among all teams. They gave up 198 homers, walked 501 batters, and dropped way down in strikeouts. But their team OPS is .781, better than everyone, and there's your 98 wins...  You want pitching? Go to Seattle. The Mariners only walked 369, their team ERA is tied with Atlanta for the best, and they just missed the playoffs... Arizona scored a MLB-leading 886 runs, 200 more runs than Detroit, but which team made it to the postseason?...  The Yankees homer a lot (1st), walk a lot (1st), but don't strike out much (20th). And despite all the long balls, only three teams hit the ball on the ground more often than they do, which may explain why they also ground into the most double plays...  The Washington Nationals may lead the majors in stolen bases, but the Milwaukee Brewers are much better at it (217/259 versus 223/296). Yes, "caught stealing," the old double negative, is still an important and often obscured stat...  Shohei Ohtani, the first 50/50 man in history, is also the best base stealer in the game, with 59 steals and only 4 caught. Cincinnati's Elly De La Cruz had 8 more steals, but was caught 12 more times. No comparison... With Ohtani and the stupendous Aaron Judge the two best players in baseball this year, is a Yankees/Dodgers World Series showdown inevitable? Not at all, in a wide-open and lengthy postseason, but it would be historic... How good does Judge have to be to be better than Juan Soto? 41 homers, 109 RBI, 128 runs, .988 OPS, and of course 129 walks against 119 strikeouts. Yet Judge has him beat in each category except runs, though the big fella did strike out 177 times... OK, so who else qualifies for our fa-vo-rite stat? Just two guys--  Cleveland's Steven Kwan  (53 BB, 51 K) and Mookie Betts (61-57)... Where's Jose Ramirez? Right here-- 41 homers, 114 runs, 118 RBI, 41 steals, only 7 caught, and waiting to see whom the Indians meet in the next round. More power to him...  Anthony Rizzo used to lead the majors in being hit by the pitch every year. Now it's not so cute-- he took a pitch off his hand last week, fractured two fingers, and may not play in the postseason. And nobody put up large numbers in that stat this year... The two MVP awards are already sewed up, but we have a plethora of Cy Young candidates in both leagues. Chris Sale is an obvious front-runner, but Detroit's Tarik Skubal is right there. They are 1-2 in wins, ERA, and strikeouts, and each might win the prize in his respective league... Skubal also has a 0.92 WHIP, just ahead of our old friend Zack Wheeler. Another former Giant, Carlos Rodon, is in the mix, and Seth Lugo, who pitched a great game against Blake Snell just a week or so ago, is right there, too... Another former short-term Giant, Tyler Anderson, led everyone with 73 walks, but in 179 innings that's not bad. Toronto's Chris Bassitt just nosed him out for highest walk rate per 9 innings...Lookin' for outliers-- wild pitches, pickoffs, balks-- and not getting any silly numbers this time around... Too much normality!

OK, right now Detroit just took a 5-2 lead over Houston in the eighth at Minute Maid. A lot of these wild-card series seem to be over in two games, and the Tigers, having won yesterday, are in position to give the 'Stros their earliest exit from the postseason since they started dominating it in 2017. And the Kansas City Royals, one game up on Baltimore already, have a 1-0 early lead at Camden Yards.  The Mets and Padres are likewise positioned to eliminate the Brewers and Braves later this evening. For us, we'd like to see Milwaukee advance, but all the 2024 postseason teams look to be as evenly balanced as any time in recent memory.