The San
Francisco Giants face the St Louis Cardinals in Game One of the
National League Championship Series tonight at AT&T Park. Game
time is slated for 5 PM PDT (8 PM EDT). The Cardinals overcame the
Washington Nationals with a four-run rally in the ninth inning of the
fifth game in their division series Friday night to advance to the
NLCS.
While
the Giants have the home-field advantage in this series and are
themselves riding the momentum of their historic comeback win at
Cincinnati, the defending world champions are a team no one wants to
face right now. Their recent history of back-from-the-dead rallies,
which extends all the way to last year's division-series win over the
once-mighty Philadelphia Phillies, now borders on the uncanny. The
"Wild Cards" did to the Nats what the Reds attempted to do
to the Giants in their own Game Five, and every player on manager
Mike Matheny's roster, no matter how obscure he may be, seems
perfectly capable of summoning up whatever heroics are needed to win
at any given moment. In short, the Cardinals are playing a lot like
the Giants are right now, and we do not like it, not one little bit.
Madison
Bumgarner opens the series on the mound for the Giants against St
Louis' Lance Lynn. "Bum" hasn't put back-to-back quality
starts together since mid-August, but if recent history holds he is
due for a rebound after last week's substandard outing against the
Reds. He was exceptionally effective at the 'Bell this year: 10-3,
2.38, 1.02 WHIP. While he lost his only start against the Cardinals
at home-- that was the game where Bruce Bochy batted him eighth-- he
pitched well enough to win but got no help. As for Lynn, the Giants
beat him in
his only start against San Francisco; this was at Busch Stadium in
August, where Buster
Posey's first-inning three-run homer held up in a 4-2 win. He's a big
righthander and he won 18 games this year; used three times, all in
relief, by Matheny against Washington, he was shelled for three
homers, four hits, two walks, and three earned runs in three-plus
innings. Tonight marks his first postseason start, and things can
only get better from his perspective.
The
party line at the moment lists Ryan Vogelsong as the Giants' Game Two
starter tomorrow night, with Matt Cain opening on the road Wednesday.
The home/road split would appear to be a wash for both pitchers; each
won the same number of games home or away, with a run-plus better ERA
at home, which matches the league average. Cain had two mediocre
starts against the Redbirds, one in each park; Vogelsong was
beneficiary of 15 runs in his one appearance at St Louis. The
intriguing choice is Game Four's, where Tim Lincecum now has to be
considered for the turn instead of Barry Zito. Trick is, Lincecum is
also likely a much more effective reliever than is Zito, and if a
starter gets in trouble early in these first three games, Boch,
whoyagonnacall?
On the
field, the Giants are stronger up the middle with Posey, Marco
Scutaro, Brandon Crawford, and Angel Pagan, although Yadier Molina is
a great catcher who can hit, and centerfielder Jon Jay is a real
player. St Louis has the edge on the corners, especially the outfield
with Carlos Beltran and Matt Holliday. On paper the Giants' starting
pitchers are more impressive, but based on performance it's a wash,
though the Giants' quality likely goes deeper. Both have good
bullpens; Matheny's is not at the level of Dusty Baker's, though.
Probably the biggest concern for the Giants on the field is Brandon
(1-for-13 with 7 strikeouts) Belt; though "Boch" won't do
it, we'd like to see Sandoval over at first and Joaquin Arias take a
turn at third. There really isn't a backup first baseman on the
roster other than Aubrey (.192) Huff; the Cards' Allen Craig, who
ably replaced Lance Berkman, who ably replaced Albert Pujols, makes
us look kinda puny here.
Notes
It's the
Yankees and Detroit in the American League, which is a win for fans
of classy uniforms if nothing else. The Tigers beat 'em in twelve
crazy innings last night, and the Bombers lost 'way more than a game:
Derek Jeter finally broke his oft-twisted left ankle in the twelfth
as he tripped fielding a ground ball. He left the field to a
standing O from a crowd that had just had its figurative teeth ripped
out by a Detroit rally moments earlier. New York, down 4-0 in the
ninth, had sent it into extras with two two-run homers from Ichiro
Suzuki and Raul Ibanez... Three times the Cardinals were one strike
away from elimination at Washington Friday night. After losing a 2-1
heartbreaker on Thursday which tied the series at 2-2, St Louis fell
behind quickly 6-0 (sound familiar?) and began chipping away. They
got it to 6-5 in the top of the eighth, then saw the Nationals score
a deflating insurance run in the bottom. Heroes of that ninth-inning
rally included the "Who?" Brothers, Daniel Descalso and
Pete Kozma, each with a two-RBI single after Beltran had set the
table with a leadoff double. Terribly tough break for Dave Johnson's
Nationals, and yeah, this means no live-and-in-person NLCS games for
us.
Erratum
It's not
our intention to bash Dusty Baker, one of the greatest managers in
San Francisco Giants history, even inadvertently. Prior to the first
division series game we noted Johnnie B. was sabotaging his own
offense by batting Drew Stubbs and Zach Covart back-to-back at the
top of the order. Well, if we had bothered to research any games
after June, we'd have seen
that
Dusty had long since moved the more-than-worthy Brandon Phillips to
the leadoff spot and dropped Stubbs to eighth. Batting at the bottom
of the order, considering his great speed, arm, and defense, Stubbs
is a fine player and was a big help to his team as they ran away with
the division title. They'll be back.
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